Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Monday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:38 pm Sunday, October 6, 2024

On Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Kansas City Chiefs will meet the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Our computer model predicts that the Chiefs will win — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Chiefs rank 15th in total offense (328.3 yards per game) and 13th in total defense (326.8 yards allowed per game) this season. In terms of total yards, the Saints rank 13th in the NFL (349 total yards per game) and 17th on defense (330.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 5.5) Over (43) Chiefs 25, Saints 20

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Saints Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
  • New Orleans games have gone over the point total three out of four times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (43) is 1.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 71.4%.
  • Kansas City has a record of 2-1-1 against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have been favored by 5.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
  • So far this season, two Kansas City games have hit the over.
  • The total for this game is 43, 2.4 points fewer than the average total in Chiefs games thus far this season.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chiefs 23 18 26.5 22.5 19.5 13.5
Saints 31.8 17.5 29.5 12.5 34 22.5

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