Our computer model predicts a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they face the Denver Broncos at Caesars Superdome on Thursday, Oct. 17 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Broncos rank 25th in points scored this year (18.7 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 16 points allowed per game. The Saints’ defense ranks 23rd in the NFL with 24.5 points allowed per game, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by generating 27.8 points per game.

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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 45.5%.
• New Orleans has compiled a 3-3-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in two of those games.
• New Orleans and its opponent have combined to hit the over four out of six times this season.
• The average total for Saints games (playoffs included) is 44.2 points, 7.2 more than this game’s over/under.

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Broncos Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Broncos a 59.2% chance to win.
• Denver has covered the spread four times in six games this season.
• The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
• So far this season, three of Denver’s six games have gone over the point total.
• The over/under in this matchup is 37 points, 1.5 fewer than the average total in this season’s Broncos contests.

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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

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