Saints vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

At Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Nov. 17, the New Orleans Saints meet the Cleveland Browns, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET. The Saints should be victorious, according to our computer model — continue scrolling to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (385.6 yards allowed per game), the Saints have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th in the NFL by totaling 334.8 yards per game. The Browns rank second-worst in total yards per game (274.4), but they’ve been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 15th in the NFL with 328.2 total yards allowed per contest.

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Saints vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-1) Toss Up (44.5) Saints 25, Browns 18

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Saints Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Saints have an implied win probability of 52.4%.
  • New Orleans has put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
  • So far this season, six of New Orleans’ 10 games have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 44.5 points, one more than the average point total for Saints games this season (playoffs included).

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Browns Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • Cleveland has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover six times.
  • The Browns have been an underdog by 1 point or more six times this season, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
  • In 2024, three Cleveland games have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (41.4).

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Saints vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Saints 22.7 24.6 23.2 25.2 22.2 24
Browns 16.4 23.7 17 25.2 15.8 21.8

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