Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 18

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, January 4, 2025

Our computer model predicts a win for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they face the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Buccaneers sport the 17th-ranked defense this year (22.9 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 29.7 points per game. The Saints rank 20th in total yards per game (321.9), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 379 total yards surrendered per contest.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-14) Over (45) Buccaneers 33, Saints 14

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Saints Betting Info

  • The Saints have a 13.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New Orleans has put together a 6-10-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Saints have not covered the spread when an underdog by 14 points or more this year (in one opportunity).
  • New Orleans games have gone over the point total seven out of 16 times this year.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Saints games (43.3).

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Buccaneers’ implied win probability is 90.9%.
  • Tampa Bay has compiled a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 11 out of 16 times this season.
  • The point total average for Buccaneers games this season is 45.5, 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 29.7 22.9 28.8 23 30.6 22.8
Saints 19.9 23.2 21.6 22.9 17.9 23.6

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